COVID-19 research

Our team is working on COVID-19 epidemiology and transmission modeling projects:

We began with supporting local hospitals in the Greater Toronto Area with estimating potential surge in health-care needs in April-May and methodological considerations when estimating the reproductive number for infections like COVID-19 with pre-symptomatic transmission.

Our work has grown into a series of integrated projects and research questions the center on heterogeneity in acquisition, onward transmission, and severity across people, places, and time.

  1. Understanding and responding to the COVID-19 epidemic in the Greater Toronto Area with place- and population-specific interventions
  2. Evaluating the differential impact of what we have done, as we prioritize what to do next: a multi-provincial intervention modeling study using population-based data
  3. Modeling SARS-CoV-2 transmission and impact of interventions among persons experiencing homelessness (as part of the COVENANT study)

Our work contributes to the local and provincial response through the Ontario Modeling Consensus Table for the Ontario Ministry of Health.

The research is supported by:

  • St. Michael’s Hospital Foundation Research Innovation Council (2020 COVID-19 Centred Research Investment Meeting)
  • MAP Centre for Urban Health Solutions
  • Ontario Ministry of Science and Innovation Early Researcher Award
  • St. Michael’s Hospital Department of Medicine, University of Toronto
  • Canadian Institutes of Health Research (Operating Grant: COVID-19 Rapid Research Funding Opportunity and Foundation Grant)